Local Level Lab

Airborne measurements. Open methods.

Shared fixed-reference error-scale controls

8/8 generated identities passed in 4.19 seconds. No archive reads, model fits or withheld observations.

Family Covered / realizations 99% coverage lower limit Median upper scale / true scale
central 1016/1024 0.98308 1.2005295904175748
reference_mean 1013/1024 0.97912 1.1990304479749447
small_noncentral 1021/1024 0.99022 1.2313850794899137
large_mean 1024/1024 0.99551 873.3366703060747
zero_rank 1013/1024 0.97912 1.1959131824002347
dependent_columns 1019/1024 0.98725 1.2002265116303015
correlated 1015/1024 0.98174 1.2026503537692141
smooth_mean 1016/1024 0.98308 1.2249636827841206

The finite software gate is a 99% lower coverage limit of at least 0.97 for every family, around nominal 0.99 model coverage. The fixed reference can be wrong without making the scale upper bound anti-conservative under the stated Gaussian law. A wrong mean can instead make it very wide. Covariance shape, selection effects and airborne coverage remain unqualified.

Mathematics · Frozen scope · Roadmap.