Local Level Lab

Airborne measurements. Open methods.

Which internal error terms keep predictions wide?

Oracle-assisted diagnostic: these are not available prediction intervals.

24/24 cases pass containment and support checks; state: complete.

Each row supplies the exact simulated value of one internal error block. Those values would be unknown for a real calibration. This diagnoses the mathematical construction and cannot clear a prediction or scientific decision gate.

Candidate / removal Block fixed to its known value Conditional width N / E / height (m) Reduction from source sector N / E / height
Globe with specified field / zero Reference terms 1.10465, 1.48979, 1.07318 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Globe with specified field / zero Acceleration/clock 1.10463, 1.48977, 1.07318 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Globe with specified field / zero Acceleration remainder 1.10015, 1.48364, 1.04095 0.41%, 0.41%, 3.00%
Globe with specified field / zero Force matrix 1.07466, 1.47068, 1.01297 2.71%, 1.28%, 5.61%
Globe with specified field / profiled Reference terms 1.18961, 1.56436, 1.15919 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Globe with specified field / profiled Acceleration/clock 1.18959, 1.56434, 1.15918 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Globe with specified field / profiled Acceleration remainder 1.18586, 1.55906, 1.12681 0.31%, 0.34%, 2.79%
Globe with specified field / profiled Force matrix 1.16010, 1.54557, 1.09909 2.48%, 1.20%, 5.18%
Globe with zero field / zero Reference terms 0.80473, 0.91772, 0.75545 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Globe with zero field / zero Acceleration/clock 0.80471, 0.91770, 0.75545 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Globe with zero field / zero Acceleration remainder 0.80422, 0.91569, 0.72179 0.06%, 0.22%, 4.45%
Globe with zero field / zero Force matrix 0.77521, 0.89961, 0.69536 3.67%, 1.97%, 7.95%
Globe with zero field / profiled Reference terms 0.96065, 1.08716, 0.91149 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Globe with zero field / profiled Acceleration/clock 0.96063, 1.08714, 0.91148 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Globe with zero field / profiled Acceleration remainder 0.96010, 1.08501, 0.87758 0.06%, 0.20%, 3.72%
Globe with zero field / profiled Force matrix 0.93105, 1.06917, 0.85141 3.08%, 1.66%, 6.59%
Flat disc / zero Reference terms 0.52571, 0.19333, 0.52155 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Flat disc / zero Acceleration/clock 0.52571, 0.19333, 0.52155 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Flat disc / zero Acceleration remainder 0.52463, 0.19310, 0.49025 0.20%, 0.12%, 6.00%
Flat disc / zero Force matrix 0.49395, 0.18804, 0.46207 6.04%, 2.73%, 11.40%
Flat disc / profiled Reference terms 0.70930, 0.25176, 0.70474 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Flat disc / profiled Acceleration/clock 0.70930, 0.25176, 0.70474 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%
Flat disc / profiled Acceleration remainder 0.70747, 0.25129, 0.67258 0.26%, 0.18%, 4.56%
Flat disc / profiled Force matrix 0.67769, 0.24639, 0.64530 4.46%, 2.13%, 8.43%

All 51 coordinates and previous training constraints remain. Each conditional block is fixed only to its saved known physical value. These effects are not additive percentages of real uncertainty, and the selected source sector is not the complete union across sectors.

Used 144/144 LP proposals and 144 independent support checks in 54.4 seconds. Zero new native integration, bounds or original aircraft reads.

Frozen scope · Source predictions · Roadmap.